November 20, 2017

Investment Green Flags – High Cash Flow Score

Now, this flag looks incredibly simple, but whenever you see orange text in Equities Lab, it means that there is a deeper formula to explore. Clicking on that formula we are presented with the following –

Though the flag itself is simple, the underlying formula is not. Understanding and analyzing cash flow statements takes time. Thankfully, we can do it easily here by importing the Cash Flow Score – a number from 0 to 10 based on the above metrics. For each line that is true for a company, it will score 1 point. The lines look for the following –

  • A company must be ranked in the bottom 35% of all companies within their sector for (total debt 1Q/free cash flow t12m) and free cash flow MUST be a positive number.
November 2, 2017

Ranking the Growth of Free Cash Flow and Finding the Leaders

Intuitively, most investors would assume that consistent growth in free cash flow within a company, would result in a high performing stock. Well today we’re going to test out that theory with the “Free Cash Flow Growth Leaders Stock Screener”. With this screener, we’re looking for:

· Large and stable companies; companies that have a market cap over a billion dollars sectioned off into their respective sectors.

· Companies that rank in the top 15% of their sectors for free cash flow growth over the last trading year as long as their FCF is greater than 0.

We plotted two extra variables, capital expenditures and sales growth.…

October 26, 2017

Investment Green Flags – Decreasing Shares Outstanding

Share Buyback Programs

A company purchasing back its shares tends to increase the stock price for a couple of reasons. First, it shows that the firm and its employees are confident in the direction the company is heading, and second, it cuts down on the shares available for investors to purchase purchasing the price up through basic supply and demand.

Below, we’ve outlined one of our green flag indicators “Decreasing Shares Outstanding” which can be found within our Green Flags Score.

Like all green flags, we want to keep this to be as simple as possible. We are building a piece of a larger score, not an entire screener.…

October 19, 2017

What is your definition of “high dividend?”

How high are “high” dividend stocks?

As the markets continue to lack volatility, a number of investors are attempting to find opportunities outside of the traditional growth stocks. This leads many of them to alternatives such as forex, options, etc. However, some investors are still attempting to find gains in the equity markets, and a number of them are doing so through looking for companies with exceptionally high dividend yields. I have a little experience in dividend investing, but not enough to give my thoughts on the matter without running a few tests.

Above we have created a simple stock screener that ranks all companies in the market based on their dividend yield and returns the top 25% of them.…

October 12, 2017

Investment Green Flags – High F-Score

High Piotroski F-Score

 

A recurring name throughout our software and website, the F-score has been continuously tested under many different circumstances and never ceases to amaze me. It may be simplistic, but, when used correctly, can be a very powerful tool for your portfolio.

For this Green Flag we want to look at the two calculations we have in the system for the Piotroski F-Score – Yearly and Trailing 12 Months. If you are unsure of the difference, the yearly score is based on the most recent annual data, while the T12M relies on the four most recent quarters. This slight difference just means that the T12M score is two-quarters ahead of the yearly score data wise.…

September 28, 2017

Investment Red Flags – Close < 2

Sharing a lot of characteristics with the “Ultra Low Market Cap” red flag, looking for companies with a close of less than 2 gives you a number of companies whose market cap ranges from Micro to Small. These companies tend to have extremely poor fundamentals and also have a high probability of causing negative returns in your portfolio.

For this flag, we collect all companies who have a close of less than two at the time of screening. Now, a lot of marketers sell you the idea that you can make your fortune on these low priced stocks and in some cases that are true.…

September 21, 2017

Investment Red Flags – Micro-Cap Companies

Every time I get on the internet to try and find something new to learn about the markets I’m inundated with advertisements selling classes. These classes all seem to follow the same theme – they teach you how to become “rich” on penny and microcap stocks. Some people even get lucky and make some money doing it, but the vast majority is simply throwing money into a pit. Now let me explain why, and also why we have included microcap stocks in our red flags score.

Keeping with our other flags, we have kept it as simple as possible here by only having one line that simply states the following –

  • Companies whose average market cap over the past year is less than $100 million.
September 14, 2017

Investment Green Flags – Increasing Sales and High Asset Turnover

Revenue Growth and High Asset Turnover

 

When it comes to finding green flags, sometimes the simplest idea is the best. In the case of our flag – Revenue Growth and High Asset Turnover – we look for just that. It’s pretty self-explanatory that if a company is bringing in more money and is selling products faster than anyone else, it will likely increase in price long-term.

In this flag, we’ve kept it fairly simple by looking for the following –

  • Within the past trading year, the total revenues must be larger than they were a year ago. This must be true for all points throughout the year.
September 7, 2017

Investment Red Flags – Bad Beneish Score

How negatively does a bad Beneish score affect your portfolio?

 

With all of the recent articles regarding red and green flags, I realized I should begin writing articles on the flags within the score. One such flag, the bad Beneish score, is a key component of the red flags score.

The line item, “Bad Beneish Score” within the red flags score is calculated by using the above editor.

  • The Beneish M Score over the trailing 12 months (The most recent calculation) must be greater than 0.
  • The Beneish M Score over this past year (Two quarters behind the T12M calculation) must also be greater than 0.
August 15, 2017

Learning about Green Flags and their score

Green Flags

Now that we’ve gone over red flags, it’s time to look at the other side of the equation and learn about green flags.

In our previous article, we discussed that red flags don’t necessarily mean that an investment is going to lose money. Green Flags are the polar opposite from a red flag, but it still doesn’t guarantee anything. A company could have every green flag raised and still lose money over the time you hold it. However, green flags do indicate that a company is less likely to be a dud and increase your chances of long term success.…